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India mini .gifAssembly Electionsmini .gifExit polls and Surveys

Opinion Polls for Delhi, Chattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan

Exit Poll 4th Dec 2013

Except Chattisgarh, every news agency is showing a BJP surge in all major states. Chhattisgarh seems to be having a tough fight.

Delhi Elections: Almost 66% voting has been recorded in Delhi which breaks all previous records.

 

BJP

Congress

AAP

Others

ABP News-Nielsen 32 18 18 2
NWS-CVoter 29 21 16 4
Times Now 29 21 16 4
ORG India Today 41 20 6 3

Madhya Pradesh:

 

BJP

Congress

Others

CVoter 123-133 87-97 25
ABP News-Nielsen 138 80 12
Today's Chanakya 161 62 7

Chhattisgarh:

 

BJP

Congress

Others

Today's Chanakya 51 39 0

Rajasthan:

 

BJP

Congress

Others

Today's Chanakya 147 39 14
Karnataka Elections Results:

Exit Poll 6th May 2013

ABP News is predicting a return to power for Congress while BJP will be wiped out. Yeddyurappa may not win enough seats for himself but he will assure that BJP loses the state badly.

 

BJP

Congress

JD(S)

Others

CNN-IBN 43-53 110-116 43-53 16-24
CVoter 47 112 39 25
Today's Chanakya 31-45 121-143 31-45 8-22

Gujarat Elections Exit Poll : Entire Coverage

Stay with us from 17th Dec evening as we bring to you the EXIT Poll results for Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh elections

ABP News Exit Poll 17th Dec

ABP News is predicting a heavy landslide victory for Narendra Modi in Gujarat. It's predicting 126 seats for BJP as compared to just 50 for Congress.

 

BJP

Congress

GPP

Others

South Gujarat (35) 27 6   2
Saurashtra (54) 42 11 1  
Central Gujarat (40) 15 22   3
North Gujarat (53) 32 21    
Rest 10      
Total 126 50 1 5

News Channels Exit Poll for Gujarat

All major news channel surveys are projecting growth in the number of seats for BJP and Congress failing badly despite an active campaigning by Sonia Gandhi. If the results are close to what is being predicted, Narendra Modi might be on his way to joining the National level politics as a PM candidate for 2014 elections.

 

BJP

Congress

GPP

Others

AAJ Tak - ORG 118-128 50-56 1-2 4-6
India TV C-Voter 124 54   4
News 24 Chanakya 140 40   8
ABP-Nielsen 126 50 1 5

India Today and CNN-IBN have come up with the first two Opinion polls on the upcoming elections in Gujarat.

India Today-ORG poll released in the fourth week of October shows Narendra Modi is on road to a massive victory. India Today suggests a slightly lower vote% for BJP but higher seats because of the new delimitation rules and new boundaries which leads to increase of Urban seats. Though Congress is shown as gaining 2% more vote share than 2007 results, they are expected to lose 11 seats than last time. India Today mentions that Modi is winning because he is seen as an incorruptible leader who brought development to the state.

CNN-IBN poll too suggests Modi will emerge stronger after the polls, though they have not put any figures to the number of seats.

 

BJP

Congress

GPP

Others

India Today-ORG 128 (117) 48 (59) 1 5 (6)
CNN-IBN 50% votes (+1) 45% (-2) +3%  
India TV-C Voter        
News 24        

(Numbers in bracket are 2007 figures)

Himachal Pradesh Elections Exit Poll : Entire Coverage

Congress is shown as going neck-to-neckw tih BJP in all exit poll surveys for Himachal Pradesh. As seen in Uttarakhand recently, if Congress manages to gain even 1 seat more than BJp it will form a Govt at all costs.

 

BJP

Congress

Others

ABP News-Nielsen 32 32 4
CVoter 31 34 3
CNN-IBN 29-35 29-35 2-6
News 24-Chanakya 23 40 5

 

Election Results 2012

Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Gujarat, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur went polls in Jan-Feb 2012 and the exit polls and opinion poll results are shown here. Outcome of the Assembly elections in these states may or may not depend on these polls but it does give an indication of what is happening in these states.

3rd March Exit Poll Predictions

Be here with us tonight as we bring to you the Exit poll results from various News Channels tonight. Meanwhile Times Of India has said in its issue of 3rd March that punters are favouring a President's Rule in UP with SP emerging as leader with a tally of 146 to 150 seats and BSP second with 106-110 seats.

Uttar Pradesh Exit Poll (Star News)

Below is the Star News Nielsen Exit Poll Results for Uttar Pradesh declared on 3rd March 2012. The figures in bracket denote what Star News predicted on 3rd Feb.

Star News says BJP won't even win one seat in the Bundelkhand region. This means it's star campaigner Uma Bharti will lose as well as she is fighting polls from this region. This also means Kushwaha factor has done nothing for BJP in the region. Overall, Star News predicts SP willneed Congress support to form the Govt otherwise UP is heading towards a President's rule.

 

BSP

SP

Congress

BJP

RLD

Others

Bundelkhand (19) 5 (5) 8 (9) 3 (5) 0 (0) (0) 0 (0)
Awadh (63) 6 (10) 27 (24) 20 (22) 9 (7) (0) 1 (0)
Paschim Pradesh (145) 31 (40) 47 (42) 8 (08) 46 (40) 12 (10) 0 (0)
Purvanchal (176) 44 (65) 78 (60) 27 (33) 25 (18) (0) 2
Total (UP) 86 (120) 160 (135) 70 (68) 80 (65)   7 (10)

Here's an Exit poll prediction for total number of seats gained by politicial parties in Uttar Pradesh. Figures in bracket denote the actual number of seats won in 2007 polls:

 

BSP

SP

Congress

BJP

RLD

Others

Star News 86(206) 160(98) 70(32) 80(51)   7(17)
Headlines Today-Aaj Tak 88-98 195-210 38-42 50-56  

12-18

India TV-C Voter 122-130 137-145 39-55 79-87   2-10
News 24 85 185 55 55   23

3rd Feb: Opinion Poll By Star News-Nielsen for Uttar Pradesh

On 3rd Feb, Star News announced the second opinion poll for Uttar Pradesh elections. It says that BJP will fare ever worse than what was predicted in Dec. According to the survey, BSP will get 101 seats, SP will emerge front runner with 135 seats, Congress will come 3rd with 79 seats and BJP will end 4th with just 61 seats. Congress ally RLD will get 20 seats.

16th Dec Poll: The first opinion-exit polls has come in from Star news-Nielsen. They have predicted that SP will be the front runner in the 2012 UP elections and BSP will suffer a major setback. Congress is shown as improving a lot in several areas despite spate of scam and corruption cases against its ministers. Mayawati's plan of dividing UP in 4 different states found a lot of support in public, especially in the areas of Purvanchal, but according to Star News, it is not goig to translate into votes for the party.

Overall the Opinion Poll suggests a coalition Govt in UP. Star News says BSP will get 120 seats (-86), SP 135 seats (+38), Congress 68 (+46) and BJP 65 (+14).

Punjab Survey for 2012 Elections

Punjab Survey conducted by Star News shown on 23rd Jan for 2012 Assembly elections suggest that Congress is going to stage a comeback in Punjab with 63 seats. The opinion poll gives Congress a massive boost by predicting that they will gain 19 seats since 2007 elections. BJP-Akali Dal combine is shown to lose 15 seats and end up on just 53 seats. Earlier, a poll by India Today-ORG had also predicted almost similar results in Punjab.

We have added Exit Poll results from 3rd March below:

 

Congress

BJP

Others

Star News (Exit Poll) 58 56 2
Headlines Today (Exit Poll) 58-62 (44) 50-54 (68) 7-12
News 24 (Exit Poll) 60 52 05
IBN 7 (Exit Poll) 48-60 51-63 3-9
India TV-C Voter (Exit Poll) 62-68 44-50 2-8
India Today-ORG 69 (+25) 40 (-27) 8 (+5)

Opinion Poll for Uttarakhand

Star News opinion poll for Uttarakhand on 23rd Jan shows that BJP is on its way back in Uttarakhand. It shows that BJP is set to gain 4 more seats from last time and win 39 seats but Congress is said to have even better gain of 8 seats, but it will still fall short and end with 29 seats only. There s only 1% vote difference between Congress and BJP as sugested by this poll, so the actual results can be vastly different from what is predicted here.

We have added Exit Poll results from 3rd March below:

 

Congress

BJP

Others

Star News (Exit Poll) 29 (+8) 36 5
Headlines Today (Exit Poll) 38-42 26-30(35)  
News 24 (Exit Poll) 30 28 12
News Express (Exit Poll) 32 26 12
India TV-C Voter (Exit Poll) 29-35 22-29 7-17
India Today 30 28  

Assembly Elections of 2012:

In 2012, 6 Indian states are scheduled to go for Assembly polls. They are Punjab, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur.

2011 Assembly elections in 5 states

2009 Assembly elections Exit-Opinion Polls and 2010 State election Opinion Polls

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