Exit Polls and Surveys for 2014 Elections in India

Exit Polls and Surveys for Elections 2014

Jan 2012: India Today Survey leading to General elections 2014

India Today, the leading English Magazine, conducted an Opinion poll in Jan 2012 to gauge the mood of the nation on the working of UPA II. The results predict that if elections were to be held now, UPA will lose nearly 8% of its vote share. NDA will agin some ground but major benefactors will be the other smaller regional parties. Figures in bracket indicate seats won by the party in 2009 elections.

India Today's survey also found that the most favoured PM candidate for now is Narendra Modi with 24% votes. he is followed by Rahul Gandhi with 17% votes and L K Advani with 10% votes.

Seat Projections for major coalitions are:

UPA: UPA comprises of Congress, TMC, NCP, DMK, JKNC, Kerala Cong(M), MUL, All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen, Jharkhand Vikas Parishad, Bodoland People's Front and RLD

NDA: NDA is made of BJP, Janata Dal(U), Shiv Sena, Jharkhand Mukti Morcha, Shiromani Akali Dal, Haryana Janhit Congress, Republican Party of India (Athawale)

Others: This list consists of SP, BSP, CPI(M), CPI, RSP, FB, PDP, BJD, TDP, AGP and others.

23rd March '2009:

One of the first surveys to come out for the Lok Sabha polls, the Star News-Nielsen survey, predicts that the Congress led UPA could win upto 257 Lok sabha seats. The BJP led coalition is predicted to achieve 184 seats, while the third front will remain third with 96 seats. For a clean majority, an alliance would need 272 seats, so as per this survey, UPA would be left short by 15 seats.

However, the UPA tally includes the now estranged allies and current UPA partners, Samajwadi Party, LJP and RJD. If the numbers for these three are reduced, the UPA led alliance will be reduced to 210. Although, as per comon perception, no matter how many differences occur between the Congress and these three parties, if after the election Congress requires thier support to form the Govt, they'd surely get it in the name of forming a "secular Government". Many believe the current tactics by RJD, LJP and SP as arm twisting measures, so that after the elections, if UPA wins, they can achieve a lot more than their due recognitions.

A lot of time is still left for the elections to start, and newer poll alliances and break-ups will change the current tallies for sure.

Results of the Star News-Nielsen India 2009 Election Exit Polls Survey are:

Leading Party Symbol	Political Coalition Name	Seats Predicted
	UPA (including SP, RJD & LJP) Cong: 144, SP: 30, DMK: 24, TMC: 13, NCP: 13, RJD: 11, LJP: 6, JMM: 4, IUML:3, JKN: 2, RPI: 2, PMK: 1, SDF: 1, KEC: 1, NLP: 1	257
	UPA (excluding SP, RJD & LJP) SP: 30, RJD:11, LJP: 6	210
	NDA BJP: 137, JD U: 16, Shiv Sena: 12, RLD: 6, SAD: 6, AGP: 6, INLD: 1	184
	3rd Front CPM: 25, BSP: 21, TDP: 14, AIADMK: 9, BJD: 9, JD S: 5, CPI: 3, Forward Block: 3, RSP: 3, TRS: 3, HJC: 1	96

The 2009 India Elections Map:

Mouse-over on the respective state names to know the election dates in that state. Click on the state names for more news.