Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections in 7 Phases, single phase in other states

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Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections in 7 Phases, single phase in other states

Uttar Pradesh will see a 7 phase election starting on Feb 4th and ending on Feb 28th, while all other states will have a single phase poll.

Election Commission has declared the dates for elections in the states of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Manipur and Goa. The assembly elections for 2012 is being seen as a litmus test for Congress leader Rahul Gandhi. If after all the scams and corruption news and rising prices, Congress still makes an improved performance in these states, it’d signal that Rahul has done his job well. BJP is also on a sticky wicket. After impressive performance in Bihar elections last year, they’d be hoping that they regain control in Uttarakhand and Punjab. In UP, BJP and Congress can’t really hope of forming a Govt on their own. BSP and SP will emerge as the leaders in UP and in case of a hung verdict, BJP or Congress may chose to extend outside support for Govt formation in Uttar Pradesh.

Uttar Pradesh election phases

Uttar Pradesh elections 2012 will be held from 4th Feb to 28th Feb. The elections will be held in 7 phases. BSP is not expected to be a huge winner this time like 2007. SP may well make a comeback with the help of Congress. BJP has failed to really get its act together and project a definite leader. Rajnath Singh lacks mass appeal and Uma Bharti has still not been projected as a future Chief Minsiter by BJP. BJP is expected to end 4th by the recent Star News-Nielsen Opinion Polls and this would be a big setback for the party if it ends behind Congress.

Punjab elections are to be held on Jan 30th. Congress may just return back to power here, but it’s going to be Akali’s patriarch Parkash Singh Badal’s last elections so some surprise results can be expected.

Uttarakhand Polls are scheduled for 30th Jan as well. BJP lost a lot of ground here because of corruption charges against it’s CM Pokhriyal, but with B S Khanduri now heading the BJP Govt in Uttarakhand, things look to returning to normal for BJP.

Manipur has election scheduled for Jan 28th. With a population of 2.7m, Manipur has been facing economic blockade for past several months, and cost of living has risen sharply. Despite having a Congress Govt at the Center, Manipur has been left neglected by state Congress Govt and the blockade continues. If Congress still manages to make a comeback in the state, it’d only be because there’s not much alternative there. Kuki-Naga politics issue will dominate the polls.

Goa will go to polls on March 3rd and with several corruption cases against the present Cong Govt, BJP seems to have an edge in the state. Goa may return another split verdict.

Assembly election results for all states will be declared on 4th March. Apart from deciding the fate of the main political parties in their respective states, fate of Congress and BJP for the 2014 Lok Sabha Polls will also be somewhat decided now. Anna Hazare will, in all probabilities, be promoting against the Congress in the State elections because Congress has failed to address the corruption and Lokpal Bill issue. Even after this, if Congress ends up winning Punjab, Uttarakhand, manipur and Goa and performs better than BJP in UP, it will lead a massive blow to Anna’s campaign against corruption.

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